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Vol 19|No 3| January|2023



What's next?

by Jamie McKenzie
(about author)
Much as we would like to be clairvoyant and see what is coming, especially when it comes to a horrendous war like the one punishing the people of the Ukraine and threatening all of Europe, it is nearly impossible to guess the next moves of a madman like Putin or his band of henchmen and women. It is tempting in such cases to allow wishful thinking like that shown below to shape one's forecast.

Prediction

There will be a coup d'état within the next few months, and Putin's regime will come to an end.

Putin's cruel and criminal war against the people of the Ukraine has proven disastrously incompetent for all concerned, with horrible destruction, civilian casualties, and injuries. He has shown himself to be out of touch with reality and unable to manage. Countless thousands have perished because of his madness and many more will die if he is not stopped.

The poem below was written for a different regime but seems timely for Putin. Let's hope his inner circle grows tired of his bad leadership and sends him off to Siberia.

Some regimes need changing

Some regimes
Just like diapers
Trash
Or dirty laundry
Need changing
From time to time
Smelling bad
And reeking of corruption

Putin should be shackled
Turned out of office
And sent packing
Banned from Pravda
VGTRK
And news outlets of all kinds

This madman should be sent into exile
Like Napoleon
Sent to labor in Siberian salt mines
Or stranded on some desert island
Like Robinson Crusoe
Unplugged
And deprived of all pleasures
Like Borscht
Coffee
And quail eggs

He must be silenced
Once and for all
Muzzled
Gagged
And muted
Put out of commission
And hushed
Finally

Caveat

Even with Putin sent packing, there is no guarantee the new leaders will stop this insane war, as the conflict gives authoritan leaders an excuse for harsh measures and the suspension of civil liberties. It is unlikely a new regime will accept defeat and dishonor. If anything, they are likely to shake up and replace the military leadership that has bungled the first year of the war.

Regime change -- as was shown during the French and Russian revolutions -- often brings with it turmoil, uncertainty and even more change. Rarely does it proceed calmly and well. The guillotine first used on the king, the queen and the nobility was soon sharpened and used to behead some of the early leaders of the rebellion like Robespierre.

As the old adage goes, "Be careful what you wish for!"

Celebrating Victory in 2017

I spent six months living in Russia –– Sochi -- during 2017, and I watched families marching in the Victory Day Parade like those shown in the photo below. It was very touching seeing the reverence felt for fathers, mothers and grandparents who turned aside the Nazi assaults in World War II. But it was also disturbing to see the militarization of tiny children. So many little kids dressed up in uniforms. One wonders how many of the men, women and children who marched that day will die in Putin's war or lose a parent?



Watching this parade inspired the following poem:

Never Ending

Each war begins
It seems
With celebration
Cheers
And fanfare
The promise of a quick victory
Death to the Hun!
The Nazi!
The zealot on the other side
An end to tyranny
An end to war altogether
The triumph of our side
Against their side
With God’s blessing
A chance for young men
And young women
To taste glory
Show courage
And win medals

But each war lies
Breaks promises
Maims
And lasts far too long
Each war takes the husbands
From wives
Wives from husbands
Mothers and fathers
From children



Each war takes away the young
Before their time
Kills dreams
Destroys hope
And plants new seeds
For wars to come

We cannot escape
It seems
As time and again
Destiny beckons
Parades begin
Flags fly proudly
And trumpets sound the call to arms
As sons and daughters heed the call
And once again
We go marching
Marching
Happily marching
Off to war



While few people recognize it, Putin actually started his war against the Ukrainian people back in 2014, and the militarization of his citizens is no accident, as the New York Times pointed out recently in "In a Celebration of War, Moscow Displays, and Demands, Unity."


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