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What do these numbers tell us?

Year - # Homicides

1985 - 301  
1986 - 347  
1987 - 323  
1988 - 366  
1989 - 351  
1990 - 447  
1991 - 500  
1992 - 387  
1993 - 317  
1994 - 295  
1995 - 276  
1996 - 217  
1997 - 209  
1998 - 252  
1999 - 191  
2000 - 231  

What do you think is happening to homicide in this city?

Mark each of your observations with a code:

F = Completely factual, beyond doubt or challenge.
Inf = Reasonable inference
??? = Creative, imaginative hunch

What other information would you need to gather to build a strong case for your inference, moving it toward fact rather than supposition?

Source of data is the U.S. Bureau of Justice.

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